Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico
Mountain West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#116
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#132
Pace74.9#70
Improvement-8.1#351

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#95
First Shot+3.3#84
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#193
Layup/Dunks+1.0#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#253
Freethrows+3.8#6
Improvement-2.8#297

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#175
First Shot+0.6#157
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#222
Layups/Dunks+0.3#166
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#276
Freethrows+0.1#167
Improvement-5.3#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 186   Texas Southern W 86-57 OT 77%     1 - 0 +24.6 +7.5 +16.4
  Nov 15, 2015 112   @ New Mexico St. W 83-74 37%     2 - 0 +15.6 +17.6 -2.0
  Nov 18, 2015 175   Loyola Chicago W 75-51 75%     3 - 0 +20.3 +6.3 +15.1
  Nov 21, 2015 41   @ USC L 82-90 16%     3 - 1 +5.8 +8.3 -1.8
  Nov 25, 2015 333   Nicholls St. W 75-63 95%     4 - 1 -3.8 -7.8 +3.1
  Dec 01, 2015 183   Oral Roberts W 91-75 76%     5 - 1 +11.8 +2.1 +7.7
  Dec 05, 2015 9   @ Purdue L 58-70 7%     5 - 2 +8.0 -12.4 +21.9
  Dec 12, 2015 80   Northern Iowa W 76-57 47%     6 - 2 +23.1 +10.4 +13.7
  Dec 16, 2015 112   New Mexico St. W 79-61 60%     7 - 2 +18.7 +6.0 +11.9
  Dec 19, 2015 277   Rice L 89-90 89%     7 - 3 -11.4 -6.9 -4.4
  Dec 22, 2015 180   Auburn L 78-83 66%     7 - 4 -6.0 -4.7 -0.5
  Dec 23, 2015 50   BYU L 66-96 25%     7 - 5 -19.7 -4.0 -14.8
  Dec 25, 2015 169   Washington St. L 59-82 64%     7 - 6 -23.5 -16.1 -6.7
  Dec 30, 2015 141   Nevada W 88-76 66%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +10.8 +8.1 +1.2
  Jan 02, 2016 102   @ Fresno St. W 77-62 32%     9 - 6 2 - 0 +23.0 +1.8 +19.9
  Jan 09, 2016 133   Utah St. W 77-59 65%     10 - 6 3 - 0 +17.3 -1.6 +18.5
  Jan 12, 2016 115   @ UNLV L 74-86 38%     10 - 7 3 - 1 -5.7 -0.2 -4.3
  Jan 16, 2016 164   Wyoming L 68-70 73%     10 - 8 3 - 2 -5.2 -3.1 -2.3
  Jan 23, 2016 248   @ San Jose St. W 83-64 70%     11 - 8 4 - 2 +16.9 +6.3 +9.2
  Jan 27, 2016 237   Air Force W 84-55 84%     12 - 8 5 - 2 +21.5 +9.5 +12.1
  Jan 30, 2016 94   @ Boise St. W 88-83 30%     13 - 8 6 - 2 +13.8 +17.3 -3.6
  Feb 02, 2016 115   UNLV W 87-83 61%     14 - 8 7 - 2 +4.5 +3.9 -0.1
  Feb 06, 2016 53   @ San Diego St. L 71-78 OT 19%     14 - 9 7 - 3 +5.7 +4.9 +1.2
  Feb 09, 2016 133   @ Utah St. L 72-80 42%     14 - 10 7 - 4 -2.8 +0.2 -3.3
  Feb 13, 2016 248   San Jose St. W 74-58 85%     15 - 10 8 - 4 +8.0 +2.8 +5.8
  Feb 17, 2016 94   Boise St. W 80-78 51%     16 - 10 9 - 4 +4.9 +5.7 -0.8
  Feb 20, 2016 237   @ Air Force L 72-76 68%     16 - 11 9 - 5 -5.7 -7.3 +2.0
  Feb 23, 2016 142   @ Colorado St. L 69-86 46%     16 - 12 9 - 6 -12.7 -2.0 -11.7
  Feb 27, 2016 102   Fresno St. L 82-92 54%     16 - 13 9 - 7 -7.8 +3.8 -10.8
  Mar 01, 2016 53   San Diego St. L 56-83 36%     16 - 14 9 - 8 -20.2 -4.3 -17.8
  Mar 05, 2016 141   @ Nevada W 71-66 44%     17 - 14 10 - 8 +9.7 +2.4 +7.0
  Mar 10, 2016 141   Nevada L 62-64 56%     17 - 15 -0.2 -1.8 +1.5
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%